The Surprising Truth About Tucson Real Estate in 2025

by Jennifer Winchester

Wondering what’s really going on in the housing market? 👀

If you’ve been scrolling social media, you’ve probably seen doom-and-gloom headlines saying the market is crashing. But here’s the truth: the U.S. market is stabilizing — inventory levels today look a lot like 2019.

And here in Tucson, the numbers tell an even clearer story:

📊 18,955 new listings + 11,910 sales this year (compared to 19,045 listings + 14,958 sales in 2019)

📊 Buyers are getting ~2% below list price (vs. 1.8% below in 2019)

📊 Days on market are 35–40 now (vs. 19 in 2019)

That means it’s actually a little friendlier for buyers than it was then. Yes, Tucson still has a shortage of about 4,800 homes — especially under $300K — and most new builds are coming in $400K+. But people are still buying their first homes, and others are selling to upsize or downsize every single day.

Bottom line: the market isn’t impossible, it just takes the right strategy. 🏡 If you’re ready to make your move in Tucson, give me a call — I’d love to help.